In
the NFL, really sports in general, we’ve seen time and again how bad teams can
become winners, even champions, almost overnight. The 2008 Boston Celtics did
it, going from rock bottom to NBA Champions in just one year.
While
the 2008 Miami Dolphins didn’t win the Super Bowl, they did accomplish the most
amazing single season turnaround in NFL history for a one win team. Finishing a
remarkable11-5, they captured the AFC East crown and qualified for the
playoffs.
With
the sole exception of the Pittsburgh Steelers, could any team possibly feel
better about last season than the Dolphins?
So
much has been accomplished in the two offseasons under Parcells’ leadership:
new talent, new coaching, and a new culture of winning. Consider, that, not
counting Jason Taylor, only twenty
players remain from the roster that was inherited from the Cam Cameron regime.
That,
folks, is what we call ‘moving some earth’.
So
does this mean that the turnaround is complete, that the Dolphins are ready to
appear in Super Bowl XLIV at LandShark Stadium, to become the only team to host
a Super Bowl in their own house?
Realistically,
the answer is “no”. Much work still remains for this team to take that
difficult next step.
Then
again, it wasn’t that long ago that people were conceding that a six win 2008
would be a huge success. This is why I am not in the business of making
predictions on final records and such.
Therefore,
here are my top 10 questions (in no particular order) as the Dolphins get ready
for training camp:
1)
Can the rookie corners get the job done?
It
is asking a lot, an awful lot, of a rookie cornerback to guard Randy Moss,
perhaps the best wide receiver in football, twice a season. He leads a
murderers’ row within the division that includes Lee Evans, Wes Welker, Terrell
Owens, and Jerricho Cotchery. Outside the division, guys like Reggie Wayne,
Michael Jenkins, Marques Colston, Steve Smith, and Andre Johnson will also get
a chance to match up. No other rookie corner in the NFL will draw a more
difficult slate of receivers to guard. So how well will Vontae Davis and Sean
Smith hold up against the NFL’s best? Will the Dolphins be forced to trade for
a veteran CB if the rookies aren’t ready to step up? This situation might very
well be the key to the team’s fortunes in 2009.
2)
How will the Dolphins use Joey Porter and Jason Taylor?
It
will be interesting to see how the Dolphins decide to use Taylor and Porter. In Nick Saban’s 3-4 defense, Taylor
often shifted to weakside linebacker where he won the NFL Defensive Player of
the Year. After Taylor was traded to Washington, Porter shifted
over and enjoyed a Pro Bowl year after struggling the previous season on the
strongside. The Redskins tried Taylor
at SLB, but with similarly disappointing results. So the idea of lining both
players up at the OLB positions simultaneously may not be the best approach. This
is why I expect Taylor
to be used primarily on passing downs and in other situational roles, as an
extra DE or a LB where he could blitz or drop off in coverage. This will also
serve to save his 35 year old legs, especially for the December playoff run.
3)
Is Jake Grove an upgrade over Samson Satele at Center?
The
Dolphins took a risk in signing Grove in free agency and trading Satele away to
the Raiders for a sixth round pick. Over five NFL seasons, Grove has started
all 16 games just once. Does this mean that he’s injury prone, or just lacking
in proper conditioning? We don’t know. Is Grove a better player than Satele?
The Dolphins think so. One thing is clear: by essentially giving Satele away to
the Raiders, the Dolphins lost a good insurance policy at Center and Guard.
Something, and it isn’t altogether clear to me what it is, convinced Parcells
and friends to unload Satele at a deep discount.
4)
What can be expected from Donald Thomas?
Thomas,
slated as the starter at RG, is still recovering from a torn pectoral muscle
and may not be 100% for the start of training camp. He missed all of his rookie
season with a left foot injury, and doubts have crept up as to whether or not
the guy is injury prone. Can Thomas be counted on to stay on the field in 2009?
Will the promised he has shown on the practice field and in preseason games translate
to the regular season?
5)
Will the coverage teams be improved?
Coverage
teams were the biggest disappointment on last year’s team, ranked among the worst
in the NFL all season long; this after a considerable investment via free
agency to upgrade them. They cost the team one win (Houston)
and almost another (Denver).
Some of the blame belongs to Dan Carpenter, who struggled with distance and directional
consistency with his kickoffs all season long. Somewhat surprisingly, the
Dolphins don’t appear to be overly concerned; Carpenter and P Brandon Fields
are unopposed heading into training camp. The addition of rookies Brian
Hartline and Chris Clemons might help.
6) Can NT
Jason Ferguson hold up for another season?
Ferguson will turn 35
during the season, but he’s still capable of playing at a high level. He takes
good care of his body and, as a result, has been extremely durable. So what’s
the worry? Simply put, the lack of quality depth behind him should something
happen. The fall off from Ferguson
to second stringer Paul Soliai and other candidates is considerable. Without Ferguson, the Dolphins
will have a much tougher time stopping the run. This is why Ferguson may be the most important player the
Dolphins have outside of QB Chad Pennington.
7) What should
the Dolphins expect from WR Ted Ginn, Jr.?
When I asked this question this time last year, the
answer was “Improvement, a lot of it”. This they got. Will more be forthcoming
in 2009? Last season, Ginn’s physical conditioning and route running were
markedly better, as was his ability to beat the jam. Overall, you could see
that Ginn wasn’t thinking nearly as much as he had in 2007, and was thus able
to better express his considerable athletic ability. WR coach Karl Dorrell has
clearly made some excellent progress with him. Yes, Ginn’s absence on kick
return teams was a shocker, and all indications are that this will be the case
again in 2009. Am I the only one who finds this very strange? Isn’t it in the
Dolphins’ best interest to have a player with Ginn’s considerable talents handling
the ball as much as possible? Dolphin great Nat Moore predicts a breakout
season for Ginn. Let’s see if he’s right.
8) When will
the Wildcat become the WildPat?
There’s
no question that Pat White oozes talent. But what we saw in the OTAs was a rookie
quarterback struggling to adapt to the pro game. It could take longer than the
start of the season for White to be ready to take command of the Wildcat full
time. White may very well be a good one, but my sense is that Dolfans will need
to be patient. Meanwhile, offensive coaches Dan Henning and David Lee will look
to use White in other ways as his QB skills evolve.
9) How
effective will Greg Camarillo be in 2009?
Season-ending
knee injuries tend to affect a player well into the following season. Camarillo tore the ACL in
his left knee very late in the year (November 23), and probably won’t be 100%
by the time training camp starts. Yes, he, his agent, and the team will say
that he is fine, but the reality of such an injury is that there is always some
lingering physical encumbrance and mental hesitation for some period of time
after the player’s return. The Dolphins sure could use a healthy Camarillo if they are to
return to the playoffs. It’s not clear right now, based on what we’ve seen
during the offseason, if he is truly back to the level he was at before he was
injured.
10) Is the
team good enough to repeat as divisional champs?
The
Dolphins appear to have improved the talent on the roster. But did they gain
ground or just hold serve vis-à-vis the schedule? Is it possible that they
actually lost ground? We just don’t know yet. Much, as always, will depend on
the relative strength of their divisional rivals. The return of Tom Brady from
injury gives the Patriots a huge boost, as does the signing of RB Fred Taylor
and the emergence of rookie LB Jerod Mayo. The signing of WR Terrell Owens was
a game changer for the Bills. The Jets may have added via subtraction when
Brett Favre retired and rookie Mark Sanchez took the helm; new coach Rex Ryan
will energize their defense. Do the Dolphins have enough talent to overcome
these challenges? Will new innovations to the Wildcat continue to keep
opponents off balance?
We
shall soon see.