GAME TIME: 8:30 PM EST on Monday, Oct 12th. The game will be
broadcast nationally on ESPN.
PLACE: Land Shark Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
WEATHER FORECAST: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy, with a low around 79.
FIELD CONDITIONS: The Hurricanes will be playing on Saturday night at
Land Shark, but the weather is supposed to be generally good, so the
grass should be in good shape.
STANDINGS & STATS: The Dolphins are 1-3 and tied with the Bills for
last place in the AFC East. The Jets are 3-1 and tied with the
Patriots for first place.
Dolphins Pts/Game Rank Jets Pts/Game Rank
Scored 20.2 18 Scored 18.5 25
Allowed 19.8 14 Allowed 14.2 3
Dolphins Yds/Game Rank Jets Yds/Game Rank
Total Offense: 322 18 Total Defense: 278 4
Rushing: 184 1 vs Rush: 100 13
Passing: 138 31 vs Pass: 178 5
Jets Dolphins
Total Offense: 297 24 Total Defense: 299 10
Rushing: 130 9 vs Rush: 61 2
Passing: 167 27 vs Pass: 238 24
Sacks Made (Avg/G) Allowed (Avg/G)
Dolphins 11 2.7 13 3.2
Jets 4 1.0 9 2.2
Turnover differential:
Dolphins -3
Jets 0
Individual Skill Position Stats:
Dolphins
QB: QB Henne: 24-41-207-1-1-69.9
Rush: RB Brown: 72-369-5.1-4
Rush: RB Williams: 50-248-5.0-2
Rec: WR Bess: 20-157-7.9-0
Rec: WR Ginn,Jr: 14-138-9.9-0
Rec: WR Camarillo: 11-86-7.8-0
Jets
QB: QB Sanchez: 63-110-744-4-5-71.2
Rush: RB Jones: 61-229-3.8-3
Rush: RB Washington: 45-181-4.0-0
Rec: WR Cotchery: 23-356-15.5-1
Rec: TE Keller: 12-171-14.3-1
Rec: RB Washington: 11-72-6.5-0
Legend
QBs: completions-attempts-yards-touchdowns-ints-rating
RBs: rushes-yards-average-touchdowns
WRs: receptions-yards-average-touchdowns
HISTORY: New York has won eight of the last 10 meetings and leads the
overall series, 46-40-1, including the playoffs.
INJURIES:
Dolphins:
QUESTIONABLE: LB Joey Porter (hamstring)
DE Phillip Merling (ankle)
PROBABLE: LB Akin Ayodele (back)
Jets:
DOUBTFUL: CB Donald Strickland (ankle)
T Damien Woody (foot)
QUESTIONABLE: WR Jericho Cotchery (hamstring)
S Kerry Rhodes (knee)
CB Lito Sheppard (quadricep)
PROBABLE: LB Larry Izzo (hamstring)
S Jim Leonhard (knee)
LB Bryan Thomas (wrist)
DOLPHINS STARTERS:
Offense: Defense:
QB - 7 Chad Henne LE - 70 Kendall Langford
RB - 23 Ronnie Brown NT - 95 Jason Ferguson
FB - 39 Lousaka Polite RE - 94 Randy Starks
WR - 19 Ted Ginn,Jr SLB - 99 Jason Taylor
WR - 83 Greg Camarillo ILB - 51 Akin Ayodele
TE - 80 Anthony Fasano ILB - 52 Channing Crowder
LT - 77 Jake Long WLB - 55 Joey Porter
LG - 65 Justin Smiley LCB - 25 Will Allen
C - 64 Jake Grove RCB - 24 Sean Smith
RG - 66 Donald Thomas SS - 37 Yeremiah Bell
RT - 72 Vernon Carey FS - 28 Gibril Wilson
K - 5 Dan Carpenter P - 2 Brandon Fields
PR - 15 Davone Bess KR - 38 Patrick Cobbs
NOTES: Joey Porter, Phillip Merling and Akin Ayodele all participated
in practice on Thursday after sitting out Wednesday.
JETS STARTERS:
Offense: Defense:
QB - 6 Mark Sanchez LDE - 92 Shaun Ellis
RB - 20 Thomas Jones NT - 77 Kris Jenkins
HB - 49 Tony Richardson RDE - 93 Marques Douglas
WR - 17 Braylon Edwards LLB - 99 Bryan Thomas
WR - 89 Jerricho Cotchery MLB - 57 Bart Scott
TE - 81 Dustin Keller MLB - 52 David Harris
LT - 60 D'Brickashaw Ferguson RLB - 97 Calvin Pace
LG - 66 Alan Faneca LCB - 24 Darrelle Revis
C - 74 Nick Mangold RCB - 26 Lito Sheppard
RG - 65 Brandon Moore SS - 36 Jim Leonhard
RT - 67 Damien Woody FS - 25 Kerry Rhodes
K - 3 Jay Feely P - 9 Steve Weatherford
PR - 36 Jim Leonhard KR - 29 Leon Washington
NOTES: Braylon Edwards was added to the Jets roster this week and
coach Rex Ryan has said that he will start. RT Damien Woody and CD
Donald Strickland have not practiced this week.
KEY MATCHUPS:
- Jake Grove vs Kris Jenkins: The reason the Dolphins
acquired Jake Grove was to deal with players like NT Kris
Jenkins. Last year, Samson Satele had trouble with Jenkins, but Grove
is supposed to be much better. Much of the Dolphins' running game
will depend on Grove handling Jenkins.
- Cameron Wake vs Damien Woody: Last week, Wake ran
roughshod over the Chargers' right tackle, but Woody is a much more
experienced player. Woody, however, has not been able to practice
this week.
- Dan Henning vs Rex Ryan: Ryan was the defensive coordinator
for the Ravens last year when they beat the Dolphins badly. This
year, however, Ryan does not have Ed Reed and Ray Lewis on his
defense.
- Chad Henne vs Himself: Last week, in his first start, Henne
did not create any offensive fireworks but he was steady and did not
make any mistakes, despite being sacked 6 times. This week, the Jets
will do everything they can to confuse and rattle him.
PLAYERS TO WATCH:
Chad Henne is starting his second game as a pro, but will have
a much more challenging task this week. Once again, Henne's primary
job will be to avoid mistakes and take what the Jets will give him.
Ted Ginn has caught 1 pass for 4 yards in the last two games. If he
doesn't start to get more production, he could find himself moving
down the depth chart. But while Ginn is moving down, Brian Hartline
is moving up. However, perhaps the most important player on Miami's
offense this week will be Jake Grove who as acquired to deal with Kris
Jenkins.
Last week, the Dolphins' defense picked up 6 sacks with
Cameron Wake finally having the kind of impact they hoped he would
have when they signed him. Jason Taylor also got two sacks and Joey
Porter will be returning this week. That, as much as improved play by
the secondary, was responsible for shutting down the Bills' passing
game.
The Jets' rookie Mark Sanchez started the season with a bang,
but has been slipping ever since his first game. He has committed a
lot of turnovers (5 INTs and 5 fumbles) and was primarily responsible
for the Jets' loss last week. Jets' running back Thomas Jones has
been effective against the Dolphins in the past, but is only averaging
3.8 ypc this year. The most dangerous player on the Jets' offense
right now is probably Jericho Cotchery, but the acquisition of WR
Braylon Edwards is the big question mark for this weekend.
The Jets' Kris Jenkins gave Dolphins' center Samson Satele a
lot of trouble last year, but Satele is gone. The Jets get LB Calvin
Pace back this week and CB Darrelle Revis is an outstanding defensive
back. MLB David Harris leads the defense with 33 tackles, 2 sacks and
one forced fumble.
On special teams, the Jets have two very good return men in
Leon Washington (25.2 yards per kickoff return) and Jim Leonhard (15.7
yards per punt return).
MY ANALYSIS:
The Jets this year have been impressing a lot of people with
their improved play this year, especially on defense and at
quarterback. However, some of that came crashing down last week when
Mark Sanchez suddenly looked like the rookie he is, turning the ball
over 4 times and losing the game against the Saints almost
single-handedly.
The Jets defense has been improved by new head coach Rex Ryan,
who directed the Ravens' defense last year that crushed the Dolphins.
This year, the new Jets' defense is 3rd in the league in points
allowed and 4th in yards allowed and held the Saints' offense to just
10 points last week.
The Jets are the most blitz-happy team in the NFL right now -
if you define blitz as bringing pass-rushers from an unexpected
position on the field. They don't actually bring more than 4 rushers
on most plays, but the do a lot more blitzes with defensive backs and
interior linebackers than most teams.
As a result, the Jets only have 4 sacks on the season, but
their unusual defensive alignments and pass rushes have confused
nearly every offense they've faced and enabled them to beat the
Patriots, which has one of the most savvy quarterbacks in the league.
And, of course, they'll try every trick they can think of to
put pressure on Chad Henne.
Ultimately, however, the key to Miami's offensive success will
be how well Miami's league-leading rushing attack can deal with the
Jets' defense. And while the Jets do have a good defense, they're
better against the pass with their blitzes than they are against the
run.
As I noted above, the biggest match-up in the game - and the
key to the Dolphins' offensive success - could be how well the
Dolphins' interior linemen can handle Jets' NT Kris Jenkins. It will
be up to Justin Smiley, Jake Grove and Donald Thomas to create the
interior running lanes that Ronnie Brown thrives on.
When the Dolphins do pass (which won't be often), Chad Henne
needs to continue to show the kind of patience and mistake-free play
he showed against the Bills. He didn't put up any big numbers against
the Bills, but he did keep his cool, despite being sacked 6 times,
which I found impressive for a guy who was starting his first game.
He needs to show the same poise against a much more difficult
opponent.
The most interesting thing to look out for will be whether or
not the Dolphins put Tyler Thigpen in the game to run the Wildcat.
Thigpen ran the spread formation in college and last year for the
Chiefs. He's only been with the Dolphins for a little over a week,
but they may put him in to run 3 or 4 plays. Thigpen is a good runner
(he averaged 6.2 ypc on 62 carries last year) and he can throw the
ball. With Pat White being totally ineffective this year, it will be
very interesting to see if Dan Henning gives Thigpen a try.
The Dolphins should be able to run on the Jets and hopefully
knock them back on their heels. If that happens, then the passing game
could become effective. On the other hand, if the Dolphins can't
establish the run, they will probably not be able to throw against the
Jets' defense and that could doom the Dolphins.
When the Jets have the ball, they will want to run first and
try to set up the big play to take advantage of Miami's perceived
weakness in the secondary. However, they will have to be aware of a
new threat this week - Cameron Wake. With Wake exploding out of the
gate last week, Jason Taylor improving and Joey Porter returning, the
Dolphins could have a devastating pass rush to throw at the Jets.
Last week, Mark Sanchez looked awful against the Saints and if
the Dolphins can put the kind of pressure on him that they put on
Trent Edwards, they can completely shut down the Jets' offense.
The Dolphins are second in the league in rushing defense,
mainly because of the dominating play of Miami's defensive line,
especially Jason Ferguson, Randy Starks, Phillip Merling and Kendall
Langford. If they continue their play, they will keep the Jets from
running and that will allow the Dolphins' pass rushers to completely
rattle Sanchez.
If Miami can't put pressure on Sanchez, the Jets do have
enough good receivers to set up some of the big plays that have beaten
the Dolphins this year. But Sanchez is not Rivers or Manning and
obviously can be rattled.
On special teams, the Dolphins will need to continue to play
well in coverage, because the Jets have two very dangerous return men
and one big return could make the difference in this game.
With all the bad blood between these two teams and all the
words exchanged, there will be no lack of motivation or energy in this
game. Both teams will come out and play very hard and the hitting
will be intense. Coach Rex Ryan of the Jets had it right when he said
this would be a very physical game.
I don't see the Jets having much success on offense against
Miami's defense. Mark Sanchez has been playing a little worse each
week and Miami's strong pass rush and tough run defense will keep the
Jets' offense in check. The only real danger is the big pass play,
but I don't think that Sanchez will be able to complete those plays in
the face of Miami's pass rush. Even in winning, the Jets have not
been scoring many points and Miami's defense should be able to contain
them.
The bigger question is how Miami's offense will do against the
Jets' defense. If they can continue to dominate in the running game,
they have an excellent chance of rolling over the Jets. If the Jets
can stop Miami from running and force Chad Henne to pass, the Dolphins
will be in trouble. But either way, Chad Henne must continue to play
with poise, confidence and patience and not make any big mistakes.
The Jets are favored in this game, but that is based more on
early season results than the past week. I believe that the Dolphins
will control the game on Monday night and as long as Chad Henne
doesn't make any big mistakes, they will win.
PLACES TO WATCH:
To watch the game on TV, you may go to one of the sports bars listed on my "Places To Watch" web page.
To listen to the game live over the Internet, you must now pay
the NFL for the privelege. They are charging .99 (US) per month or
.99 for the season for something you used to get for free. If you want to sign up for that, go to the following link NFL Field Pass.
Also, here is a list of some websites that have live scores
and updates. Both the Official Website and NFL.com have almost live
applications that run in your browser and give you current stats and
play-by-play information.
Related Info: